Tropical Storm LESLIE

ADV   TIME      LAT    LON    WIND  PRES        STATUS
___ _________  _____  _____  _____  ____  ___________________
 1  10/04/21Z  29.8N  80.5W  35MPH  1011  Subtropical Depression 1
 2  10/05/03Z  29.8N  79.5W  35MPH  1010  Subtropical Depression 1
 3  10/05/09Z  29.9N  77.7W  35MPH  1010  Subtropical Depression 1
 4  10/05/15Z  30.4N  76.4W  40MPH  1009  T.S. Leslie
 5  10/05/21Z  30.3N  75.3W  40MPH  1009  Tropical storm
 6  10/06/03Z  30.6N  73.8W  40MPH  1010  Tropical storm
 7  10/06/09Z  30.8N  72.4W  40MPH  1006  Tropical storm
 7A 10/06/12Z  30.9N  72.4W  40MPH  1007  Tropical storm
 8  10/06/15Z  31.1N  72.0W  40MPH  1007  Tropical storm
 8A 10/06/18Z  31.3N  71.8W  40MPH  1007  Tropical storm
 9  10/06/21Z  31.7N  71.1W  35MPH  1007  Tropical depression
10  10/07/03Z  32.6N  70.0W  35MPH  1006  Tropical depression
11  10/07/09Z  33.8N  68.8W  35MPH  1006  Tropical depression
12  10/07/15Z  36.2N  67.5W  35MPH  1006  Tropical depression
(Last advisory becoming extratropical)

WIND is in knots 
PR is pressure in millibars (mb) or hectopascals (hPa)

Leslie began as a subtropical storm. A cold front absorbed the remains of Tropical
Depression Leslie on Oct. 7, ending the short life of a different kind of storm. Leslie was
neither a tropical cyclone nor an extratropical storm when it formed off on Florida Oct. 4.
It was what meteorologists call a "subtropical" or hybrid storm. The system formed out of 
the same tropical system that brought flooding rain to southern Florida on Oct. 2 and 3. 

********************************************** DETAILS *************************************
686 
WTNT31 KNHC 051458
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 05 2000

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS...ACQUIRES MORE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS...AND IS NAMED LESLIE...

...INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE...

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THE SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION
HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN GETTING CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. 
THIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THE
AIRCRAFT ALSO REPORTED THAT THE WINDS HAVE REACHED THE THRESHHOLD OF
A TROPICAL STORM SO THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN NAMED LESLIE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 700 MILES...1125 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA.
 
LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TO THE EAST-
NORTHEAST TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...30.4 N... 76.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
********************************************* 10-06-2000 ***********************************
000
WTNT31 KNHC 061417
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI OCT 06 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 435 MILES...700 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA.
 
LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
  
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.1 N... 72.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  

000
WTNT21 KNHC 060824
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1600
0900Z FRI OCT 06 2000
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  72.4W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  72.4W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  72.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 31.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 33.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  72.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 42.0N  56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 52.0N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA

********************************************* 10-07-2000 ***********************************
116 
 WTNT31 KNHC 071424
 TCPAT1
 BULLETIN
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 11 AM EDT SAT OCT 07 2000
 
 ...LESLIE RAPIDLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.5 WEST
 OR ABOUT 500 MILES...800 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA.
  
 THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH ...37
 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
  
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
 GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS GRADUALLY MERGING WITH A COLD FRONT.
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
  
 REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...36.2 N... 67.5 W.  MOVEMENT
 TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
 MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. 
  
 THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
 CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FURTHER INFORMATION WILL BE INCLUDED IN
 FORECAST PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER.
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
 NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.  
 

WTNT3 Archive

 
Official NOAA/NHC Forecast Discussion 


250 
 WTNT41 KNHC 071427
 TCDAT1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESLIE DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 11 AM EDT SAT OCT 07 2000
  
 SATELLITE AND SHIPS REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
 IS BECOMING ELONGATED WHILE BEING ABSORBED OR ASSOCIATED WITH A
 STRONG COLD FRONT.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
 ABOUT 20 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
 TODAY.
 
 FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE INCLUDED IN FORECAST
 PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER.
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL     07/1500Z 36.2N  67.5W    30 KTS
 12HR VT     08/0000Z 38.5N  65.0W    35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     08/1200Z 41.5N  61.0W    35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
    

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WTNT4 Archive
Guidance archive

 
Official NOAA/NHC (Marine) Advisory 


740 
 WTNT21 KNHC 071425
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1600
 1500Z SAT OCT 07 2000
   
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  67.5W AT 07/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT 20 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  67.5W AT 07/1500Z
 AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  68.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 38.5N  65.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.5N  61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N  67.5W
  
 THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
 CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE INCLUDED IN
 FORECAST PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER.
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
 NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
    

WTNT2 Archive 

 
Official NOAA/NHC Forecast Probabilities 


194 
 WTNT71 KNHC 061418
 SPFAT1
 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 11 AM EDT FRI OCT 06 2000
  
 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
 PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.0 WEST
  
 CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
 OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON OCT  9 2000
  
 LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
  
 33.5N  67.0W      26  7  X  X 33   HALIFAX NS         X  X  4  4  8
 37.5N  62.5W       X 12  5  1 18   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  7  5 12
 43.0N  58.0W       X  X  9  4 13   SYDNEY NS          X  X  3  7 10
 BERMUDA            5 16  X  X 21   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  4  6 10
 BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  1  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  8 10
 EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  2  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  2  9 11
 ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  3  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  3  9 12
 MONCTON NB         X  X  1  4  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  2 10 12
 YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2  2  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  9  9
  
 COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
 A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
 FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
 B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
 C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
 D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
 E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
 X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
  
 FORECASTER LAWRENCE