ADV   TIME        LAT    LON    WIND  PRES      STATUS
___ _________    _____  _____  _____  ____  ______________
 1  10/17/03Z    29.8N  70.9W  35MPH  1005  T.D. 17
 2  10/17/09Z    29.9N  70.9W  40MPH  1004  T.S. Michael
 3  10/17/15Z    29.8N  71.0W  50MPH  1000  Tropical storm
 4  10/17/21Z    30.2N  71.0W  75MPH   988  Hurricane
 5  10/18/03Z    30.5N  70.8W  75MPH   988  Hurricane
 6  10/18/09Z    31.1N  70.8W  75MPH   986  Hurricane
 7  10/18/15Z    31.7N  70.0W  75MPH   986  Hurricane
 8  10/18/21Z    33.7N  68.7W  85MPH   979  Hurricane
 9  10/19/03Z    35.2N  66.8W  80MPH   983  Hurricane
10  10/19/09Z    37.5N  64.3W  75MPH   986  Hurricane
11  10/19/15Z    41.3N  60.2W  75MPH   986  Hurricane
12S 10/19/18Z    44.0N  58.3W 100MPH   965  Hurricane
13  10/19/21Z    46.0N  57.0W 100MPH   965  Hurricane
14S 10/19/0030Z  48.5N  56.5W  85MPH   966  Hurricane
Last advisory - extratropical

PR is pressure in millibars (mb) or hectopascals (hPa)

Michael spun up from a non-tropical area of low pressure that had been churning the western
Atlantic Ocean northeast of the Bahamas during the weekend of Oct. 14-15. 

The Hurricane Center upgraded the system to Tropical Depression 17 late Monday, Oct. 16. The
next afternoon, an Air Force hurricane hunter plane flew into the developing storm, which 
was located about 400 miles southwest of Bermuda, and found that Michael had strengthened to 
a hurricane with 75 mph winds and a central pressure of 988 mb (29.18 inches). 

By Wednesday morning, Oct. 18, the 2000 Atlantic season's 13th named storm and eighth 
hurricane began drifting toward the north-northeast. Bermuda was in the clear, and it 
appeared that the northeast USA would be, too. 

After initially peaking in intensity at 85 mph Wednesday afternoon, Hurricane Michael 
appeared to be weakening while gaining speed in its race toward the Canadian Maritimes and 
extinction. Early Thursday it began to spread its 75 mph fury northeast at 32 mph over 
cooler water.

Packing a fury worse than hurricane forecasters thought, tenacious, late-season Hurricane 
Micheal slammed into southern Newfoundland late Thursday, Oct. 19, knocking down power 
lines, disrupting ferry service and damaging homes. The hurricane quickly evolved into an 
extratropical storm and weakened as it moved inland. 

Michael will go down in the record books as one of the latest and strongest hurricanes to 
menace the Canadian Maritimes so late in a season.

********************************************** DETAILS *************************************
000
WTNT32 KNHC 170832
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE OCT 17 2000

...THIRTEENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON STRENGTHENS IN THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC...NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.9 WEST
OR ABOUT 405 MILES...650 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL IS NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW DRIFT TO
THE EAST OR NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. 
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N... 70.9 W.  MOVEMENT
...NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

********************************************* 10-18-2000 *********************************** 
532 
 WTNT32 KNHC 180856
 TCPAT2
 BULLETIN
 HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER   6
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 5 AM EDT WED OCT 18 2000
  
 ...CORRECT CENTRAL PRESSURE TO 986 MB...
 
 ...MICHAEL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...
 
 INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL.
  
 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED
 NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.8 WEST OR ABOUT 370
 MILES...595 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
  
 MICHAEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR  7 MPH
 ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN
 INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
 GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
 24 HOURS.
  
 HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
 FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
 TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
  
 THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
 HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
  
 REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.1 N... 70.8 W.  MOVEMENT
 TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
 WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
  
 FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
 PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
  
 THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
 11 AM EDT.
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
   

WTNT3 Archive

 
Official NOAA/NHC Forecast Discussion 


285 
 WTNT42 KNHC 181433
 TCDAT2
 HURRICANE MICHAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 11 AM EDT WED OCT 18 2000
 
 AN EYE IS NO LONGER APPARENT.  THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH
 MICHAEL IS BECOMING DISTORTED...AND WESTERLY SHEAR APPEARS TO BE
 INCREASING OVER THE SYSTEM.  I AM KEEPING THE CYCLONE AT HURRICANE
 STRENGTH PENDING THE 18Z RECON MISSION...WHICH MAY REVEAL THAT
 WEAKENING IS UNDERWAY.  MICHAEL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MERGING WITH A
 POLAR FRONT CYCLONE NEAR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES IN A DAY OR SO.
 
 BECAUSE OF THE SHEAR...CENTER FIXES ARE LESS RELIABLE SINCE THE LOW-
 LEVEL CENTER IS PROBABLY DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
 ONE.  INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 030/8.  THE TRACK FORECAST REMAINS
 ABOUT THE SAME AS BEFORE.  THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CURRENTLY
 OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
 U.S. AND THE ASSOCIATED STEERING FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THIS
 TROUGH SHOULD WHISK MICHAEL NORTHEASTWARD.   
 
 THE WIND RADII ARE EXPANDED CONSIDERABLY IN THE FORECAST AS THE
 SYSTEM TAKES ON EXTRATROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
  
 FORECASTER PASCH
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL     18/1500Z 31.7N  70.0W    65 KTS
 12HR VT     19/0000Z 33.5N  68.5W    60 KTS
 24HR VT     19/1200Z 37.0N  65.0W    55 KTS
 36HR VT     20/0000Z 42.0N  60.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     20/1200Z...ABSORBED 
  
 

NOAA ARL Hurricane Prediction track model forecasts are no longer available on the WWW. We
are working to prepare our own graphics. In the meantime, we provide links to text files for 
these products (all track models or GFDL only), and another quickly updated track map from 
Hurricane Alley. All guidance here should not be used in lieu of official guidance from the
National Hurricane Center and local emergency management officials.

NOAA GFDL model guidance (text only, track only) 
NOAA NHC hurricane model forecast guidance (text only, track/intensity, all active storms) 
Hurricane Alley trackmap for this storm (from NHC bulletins). 
WTNT4 Archive
Guidance archive

 
Official NOAA/NHC (Marine) Advisory 


764 
 WTNT22 KNHC 181429
 TCMAT2
 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1700
 1500Z WED OCT 18 2000
  
 INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  70.0W AT 18/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE  240W 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  70.0W AT 18/1500Z
 AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  70.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.5N  68.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 37.0N  65.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 42.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...300NE 420SE 420SW 240NW.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  70.0W
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...ABSORBED
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER PASCH
   

WTNT2 Archive 

 
Official NOAA/NHC Forecast Probabilities 


047 
 WTNT72 KNHC 181430
 SPFAT2
 HURRICANE MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 11 AM EDT WED OCT 18 2000
  
 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
 PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.0 WEST
  
 CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
 OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT OCT 21 2000
  
 LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
  
 37.0N  65.0W      21  6  X  X 27   MONCTON NB         X  3  X  X  3
 42.0N  60.0W       X 10  X  X 10   YARMOUTH NS        X  5  X  X  5
 BERMUDA           13  1  X  X 14   HALIFAX NS         X  5  X  X  5
 BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  X  X  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  6  X  X  6
 EASTPORT ME        X  2  X  X  2   SYDNEY NS          X  2  X  X  2
 ST JOHN NB         X  3  X  X  3   EDDY POINT NS      X  4  X  X  4
  
 COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
 A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
 FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
 B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
 C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
 D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
 E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
 X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
  
 FORECASTER PASCH

********************************************* 10-19-2000 *********************************** 
354 
 WTNT32 KNHC 190834
 TCPAT2
 BULLETIN
 HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 5 AM AST THU OCT 19 2000
  
 ...MICHAEL ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKENING...
 
 AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED
 NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.3 WEST OR ABOUT 495
 MILES...800 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SABLE ISLAND NOVA SCOTIA.
  
 MICHAEL IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 32 MPH...52
 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A FURTHER
 INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  75 MPH...120
 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST
 DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND MICHAEL WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A
 TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
  
 HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
 FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
 TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
  
 REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...37.5 N... 64.3 W.  MOVEMENT
 TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 32 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
 MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
  
 THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
 11 AM AST.
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  

WTNT3 Archive

 
Official NOAA/NHC Forecast Discussion 


910 
 WTNT42 KNHC 190837
 TCDAT2
 HURRICANE MICHAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 5 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2000
  
 MICHAEL CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST...WITH AN INITIAL
 MOTION OF 040/33.  A POORLY-DEFINED EYE IS STILL PRESENT...ALONG
 WITH SOME EYEWALL CONVECTION.  SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65
 KT...65 KT...AND 55 KT FROM TAFB...AFWA...AND SAB.  THE MAXIMUM
 WINDS ARE DECREASED TO 65 KT FOR THIS PACKAGE.
 
 WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG NEGATIVELY-TILTED MID/UPPER LEVEL
 TROUGH WEST OF MICHAEL...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE AN
 ASSOCIATED LOW FORMING JUST SOUTH OF WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA.  MICHAEL
 SHOULD MERGE WITH THIS LOW...WITH THE MAIN QUESTIONS BEING EXACTLY
 WHERE AND WHEN.  LARGE-SCALE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE MERGER
 COULD OCCUR IN LESS THAN 24 HR.  SINCE MICHAEL IS STRONGER THAN
 INDICATED BY THE MODELS...IT MAY KEEP ITS IDENTITY A LITTLE LONGER
 OR BECOME THE PREDOMINANT CENTER IN THE MERGER.  THE FORECAST TRACK
 ASSUMES THAT MICHAEL WILL KEEP ITS IDENTITY WHILE LOSING TROPICAL
 CHARACTERISTICS...TAKING THE CENTER TO NEAR SOUTHEASTERN
 NEWFOUNDLAND IN ABOUT 24 HR.  THIS SCENARIO AGREES WITH THAT OF THE
 CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER.  AN ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO IS THAT IF
 MICHAEL AND THE NON-TROPICAL LOW MERGE EARLIER THAN CURRENTLY
 FORECAST...THE COMBINED CENTER WILL TRACK TO THE LEFT OF THE CURRENT
 FORECAST.
 
 REGARDLESS OF EXACTLY HOW OR WHERE MICHAEL AND THE LOW COME
 TOGETHER...THE STRONG DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL
 TROUGH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM STRONG.  ONLY A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE
 MAXIMUM WINDS IS EXPECTED...ALONG WITH A SPREADING OUT OF THE WIND
 FIELD AS MICHAEL BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL     19/0900Z 37.5N  64.3W    65 KTS
 12HR VT     19/1800Z 41.4N  60.0W    60 KTS
 24HR VT     20/0600Z 47.1N  53.2W    55 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     21/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW... 
  

NOAA ARL Hurricane Prediction track model forecasts are no longer available on the WWW. We 
are working to prepare our own graphics. In the meantime, we provide links to text files for
these products (all track models or GFDL only), and another quickly updated track map from 
Hurricane Alley. All guidance here should not be used in lieu of official guidance from the 
National Hurricane Center and local emergency management officials.

NOAA GFDL model guidance (text only, track only) 
NOAA NHC hurricane model forecast guidance (text only, track/intensity, all active storms) 
Hurricane Alley trackmap for this storm (from NHC bulletins). 
WTNT4 Archive
Guidance archive

 
Official NOAA/NHC (Marine) Advisory 


738 
 WTNT22 KNHC 190836
 TCMAT2
 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1700
 0900Z THU OCT 19 2000
  
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  64.3W AT 19/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT 28 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
 34 KT.......145NE 175SE 175SW 125NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  64.3W AT 19/0900Z
 AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N  65.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 41.4N  60.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
 34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 47.1N  53.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
 34 KT...360NE 420SE 300SW 240NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW...
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N  64.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  

WTNT2 Archive 

 
Official NOAA/NHC Forecast Probabilities 


039 
 WTNT72 KNHC 190838
 SPFAT2
 HURRICANE MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
 5 AM AST THU OCT 19 2000
  
 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
 PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
  
 AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
 LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.3 WEST
  
 CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
 OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN OCT 22 2000
  
 LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
  
 47.1N  53.2W      18  X  X  X 18   PTX BASQUES NFLD   4  X  X  X  4
 SABLE ISLAND NS   16  X  X  X 16   BURGEO NFLD        8  X  X  X  8
 SYDNEY NS          4  X  X  X  4   ILE ST PIERRE     17  X  X  X 17
 EDDY POINT NS      3  X  X  X  3   CAPE RACE NFLD    19  X  X  X 19
  
 COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
 A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
 FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
 B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
 C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
 D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
 E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
 X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN