INFORMATION
ADV LAT LON DATE/TIME WIND PR STATUS 1 10.0 -51.5 10/17/21 Z 30 1004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION #14 ...formed 2 10.0 -52.5 10/18/03 Z 30 1005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 10.4 -53.2 10/18/09 Z 35 1004 TROPICAL STORM JOSE...upgraded 3A 10.5 -53.7 10/18/12 Z 35 1004 TROPICAL STORM 4 10.7 -54.3 10/18/15 Z 40 1003 TROPICAL STORM 4A 12.2 -55.1 10/18/18 Z 40 1003 TROPICAL STORM...relocated N 5 12.4 -55.6 10/18/21 Z 40 1000 TROPICAL STORM 5A 12.9 -56.0 10/19/00 Z 40 1001 TROPICAL STORM 6 13.2 -56.7 10/19/03 Z 45 1000 TROPICAL STORM 6A 13.5 -57.0 10/19/06 Z 50 999 TROPICAL STORM 7 13.8 -57.5 10/19/09 Z 55 994 TROPICAL STORM 7A 14.0 -58.0 10/19/12 Z 55 994 TROPICAL STORM 8 14.3 -58.5 10/19/15 Z 65 994 HURRICANE...upgraded 8A 14.8 -59.0 10/19/18 Z 65 992 HURRICANE 9 15.1 -59.5 10/19/21 Z 65 992 HURRICANE 9A 15.4 -59.6 10/20/00 Z 65 992 HURRICANE 10 15.9 -60.0 10/20/03 Z 70 986 HURRICANE 10A 16.4 -60.3 10/20/06 Z 70 982 HURRICANE 11 16.7 -60.7 10/20/09 Z 80 977 HURRICANE 11A 16.7 -61.1 10/20/12 Z 80 983 HURRICANE 12 17.1 -61.5 10/20/15 Z 85 978 HURRICANE 12A 17.2 -62.0 10/20/18 Z 85 984 HURRICANE 13 17.5 -62.4 10/20/21 Z 85 983 HURRICANE 13A 17.6 -62.7 10/21/00 Z 85 990 HURRICANE 14 17.8 -63.0 10/21/03 Z 85 990 HURRICANE 14A 18.1 -63.9 10/21/06 Z 80 992 HURRICANE 15 18.5 -64.5 10/21/09 Z 65 996 HURRICANE 15A 18.4 -64.7 10/21/12 Z 65 996 HURRICANE 16 18.6 -65.1 10/21/15 Z 55 996 TROPICAL STORM...downgraded 16A 18.7 -65.4 10/21/18 Z 55 996 TROPICAL STORM 17 19.2 -65.7 10/21/21 Z 55 993 TROPICAL STORM 18 19.6 -66.2 10/22/03 Z 55 993 TROPICAL STORM 19 20.3 -66.3 10/22/09 Z 55 991 TROPICAL STORM 20 20.2 -66.0 10/22/15 Z 55 992 TROPICAL STORM...nearly stationary 21 21.2 -65.7 10/22/21 Z 55 990 TROPICAL STORM 22 22.7 -65.0 10/23/03 Z 55 994 TROPICAL STORM 23 23.5 -64.7 10/23/09 Z 50 994 TROPICAL STORM 24 24.7 -64.1 10/23/15 Z 50 995 TROPICAL STORM 25 25.9 -63.5 10/23/21 Z 50 995 TROPICAL STORM 26 27.0 -62.9 10/24/03 Z 50 995 TROPICAL STORM 27 28.9 -61.8 10/24/09 Z 60 990 TROPICAL STORM 28 30.6 -60.3 10/24/15 Z 65 987 HURRICANE...upgraded 29 33.0 -59.3 10/24/21 Z 65 987 HURRICANE 30 36.0 -57.4 10/25/03 Z 60 990 TROPICAL STORM...downgraded 31 39.5 -55.0 10/25/09 Z 55 994 TROPICAL STORM...last - becoming extratropical WIND is in knots PR is pressure in millibars (mb) or hectopascals (hPa)
SUMMARY
summary not available...
*********************************************** 10-17-99 ********************************
no data available...
*********************************************** 10-18-99 ********************************
855
WTNT34 KNHC 181142
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM AST MON OCT 18 1999
...TROPICAL STORM JOSE MOVING WESTWARD...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING
SYSTEM.
AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.7 WEST OR ABOUT 430
MILES...690 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
...AND THE SYSTEM COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...10.5 N... 53.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.
FRANKLIN
WTNT3 Archive
925
WTNT44 KNHC 180854
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON OCT 18 1999
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS MORNING WITH WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES AND CLOUD TOPS TO
-80C JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM
TAFB REFLECTS THIS...AND THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM
JOSE WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT. THE SYSTEM HAS A VERY
SYMMETRIC APPEARANCE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW OVER THE CYCLONE REMAINS IMPRESSIVE...ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT WITH THE WESTERLY OUTFLOW JET. WITH NO
IMMEDIATELY IDENTIFIABLE HINDRANCES TO FURTHER STRENGTHENING...
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS HURRICANE INTENSITY BY
36 HOURS.
THE SYSTEM IS STILL IN ITS FORMATIVE STAGES AND THE CENTER LOCATION
REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION
IS 280/9. A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY FIRED JUST NORTH
OF THE CENTER AND MULTI-CHANNEL SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING HINTS
THAT THE CENTER MAY BE REFORMING CLOSER TO THIS CONVECTIVE CLUSTER.
THUS...THE CENTER MAY HAVE TO BE RE-LOCATED LATER THIS MORNING WHEN
VISIBLE IMAGERY BECOMES AVAILABLE. ALSO...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE JOSE THIS
AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK
PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AS A LARGE MID-TROPOSPHERIC
ANTICYCLONE DEPICTED IN THE GLOBAL MODELS OVER THE SOUTHWEST NORTH
ATLANTIC SHOULD STEER JOSE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 12
HRS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. THIS WILL
MOVE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTO THE EXTREME EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO
THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODEL NHC98...AND REPRESENTS A SLIGHT
RIGHTWARD ADJUSTMENT FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK PROMPTS THE ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR BARBADOS...AND HAS BEEN COORDINATED WITH THE BARBADOS
WEATHER SERVICE. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN
LESSER ANTILLES ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE.
GUINEY
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 18/0900Z 10.4N 53.2W 35 KTS
12HR VT 18/1800Z 10.6N 54.6W 45 KTS
24HR VT 19/0600Z 11.2N 56.3W 55 KTS
36HR VT 19/1800Z 11.9N 58.3W 65 KTS
48HR VT 20/0600Z 13.0N 60.5W 70 KTS
72HR VT 21/0600Z 15.5N 64.5W 75 KTS
NHC Model Suite Guidance and GFDL Model Guidance (from NOAA ARL)
(These products should not be used in place of the Official NHC forecast above.)
WTNT4 Archive
999
WTNT24 KNHC 180845
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1499
0900Z MON OCT 18 1999
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF BARBADOS.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING
SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 53.2W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT
34 KT....... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 53.2W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 52.8W
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 10.6N 54.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 11.2N 56.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.9N 58.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 53.2W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 13.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 15.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
GUINEY
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
WTNT2 Archive
049
WTNT74 KNHC 180845
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 18 1999
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL
MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU OCT 21 1999
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
11.2N 56.3W 41 X X X 41 TAPA 171N 618W X X 5 9 14
11.9N 58.3W 13 14 1 X 28 TKPK 173N 627W X X 3 11 14
13.0N 60.5W X 12 10 2 24 TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 11 12
TNCC 122N 690W X X X 5 5 TISX 177N 648W X X 1 12 13
SVMG 110N 640W X X 6 8 14 TIST 183N 650W X X X 12 12
TTPP 106N 614W X 6 11 2 19 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 11 11
TTPT 112N 608W X 11 10 1 22 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 4 4
TGPY 120N 618W X 4 14 3 21 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 2 2
TBPB 131N 595W 1 17 6 1 25 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 11 11
TVSV 131N 612W X 7 13 2 22 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 2 2
TLPL 138N 610W X 6 13 3 22 ST CROIX VI X X 1 12 13
TFFF 146N 610W X 4 13 3 20 ST THOMAS VI X X X 12 12
TDPR 153N 614W X 1 13 5 19 SAN JUAN PR X X X 11 11
TFFR 163N 615W X X 9 7 16 PONCE PR X X X 11 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
GUINEY
WTNT7 Archive
285
WTNT34 KNHC 190244
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON OCT 18 1999
...JOSE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA AND ST.
MAARTEN.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR ST. BARTHELEMY AND ST. MARTIN.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
FROM ANGUILLA SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA.
INTERESTS IN THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 185 MILES...295 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS.
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS FAVOR STRENGTHENING...AND JOSE IS LIKELY TO
BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...13.2 N... 56.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST...TUESDAY.
PASCH
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
WTNT3 Archive
317
WTNT44 KNHC 190235
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 18 1999
THE LAST RECON FIX WAS AT 2251Z...AND DID NOT SHOW ANY
INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS...USING A CURVED BAND
PATTERN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...GIVE A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF
45 KNOTS. SINCE THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAK AND THERE IS A
SUBSTANTIAL UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SYSTEM...CONTINUED
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. THE NAVY VERSION OF THE GFDL MODEL AND
THE AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY MESOSCALE MODEL BOTH SHOW
INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WELL. JOSE SHOULD BE
NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH IN A DAY OR SO.
SATELLITE-DERIVED POSITION ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN A BIT TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AIRCRAFT ONES. MY LOCATION AND MOTION ESTIMATES ARE BIASED MORE
TOWARD THE RECON BECAUSE OF THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES IN SATELLITE
ESTIMATES. CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/11. OVER THE LAST
SEVERAL HOURS THERE HAS BEEN A TENDENCY FOR THE STORM TO MOVE MORE
TO THE RIGHT OF ITS PREVIOUS TRACK. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A
SMALL MID/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTEX IN THE VICINITY OF 20N 60W.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS FEATURE COULD TURN THE STORM MORE
NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. MY FORECAST IS
SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK...BUT
ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTION SUITE.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES FOR THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO MAY BE REQUIRED TOMORROW.
PASCH
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 19/0300Z 13.2N 56.7W 45 KTS
12HR VT 19/1200Z 13.9N 58.2W 50 KTS
24HR VT 20/0000Z 15.1N 60.2W 60 KTS
36HR VT 20/1200Z 16.2N 62.2W 70 KTS
48HR VT 21/0000Z 17.3N 64.0W 75 KTS
72HR VT 22/0000Z 19.5N 67.5W 85 KTS
NHC Model Suite Guidance and GFDL Model Guidance (from NOAA ARL)
(These products should not be used in place of the Official NHC forecast above.)
WTNT4 Archive
530
WTNT24 KNHC 190236
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1499
0300Z TUE OCT 19 1999
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA AND ST.
MAARTEN.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR ST. BARTHELEMY AND ST. MARTIN.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA.
INTERESTS IN THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 56.7W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 56.7W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 56.2W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.9N 58.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.1N 60.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.2N 62.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 56.7W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.3N 64.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
PASCH
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
WTNT2 Archive
400
WTNT74 KNHC 190325
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON OCT 18 1999
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST THU OCT 21 1999
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.1N 60.2W 56 X X X 56 TIST 183N 650W X 8 9 4 21
16.2N 62.2W 19 12 1 X 32 TJPS 180N 666W X 2 10 6 18
17.3N 64.0W 1 18 3 2 24 MDSD 185N 697W X X 1 12 13
TNCC 122N 690W X X X 2 2 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 8 8
TTPT 112N 608W X 1 X 1 2 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 7 7
TGPY 120N 618W X 3 2 X 5 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 3 3
TBPB 131N 595W 41 X X X 41 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 2 2
TVSV 131N 612W 8 7 X 1 16 TJSJ 184N 661W X 3 11 5 19
TLPL 138N 610W 24 2 X X 26 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 11 11
TFFF 146N 610W 37 X X X 37 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 9 9
TDPR 153N 614W 35 2 X X 37 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 4 4
TFFR 163N 615W 29 6 X X 35 ST CROIX VI X 12 7 2 21
TAPA 171N 618W 16 13 X X 29 ST THOMAS VI X 8 9 4 21
TKPK 173N 627W 6 19 1 1 27 SAN JUAN PR X 3 11 5 19
TNCM 181N 631W 1 18 3 1 23 PONCE PR X 2 10 6 18
TISX 177N 648W X 12 7 2 21
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
PASCH
WTNT7 Archive
*********************************************** 10-19-99 ********************************
432
WWCA31 TJSJ 191553
HLSSJU
PRZ001>005-006-007-
AMZ750-755-770-773-775-200930-
BULLETIN-EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1130 AM AST TUE OCT 19 1999
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD NOT
VENTURE FAR FROM PORT...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN 36 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE ADVISED TO BEGIN IMPLEMENTING INITIAL STAGES OF
HURRICANE MITIGATION PLANS...AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST
UPDATES ON HURRICANE JOSE.
IT IS NOT TOO EARLY TO BEGIN PREPARATIONS NOW...SUCH AS STOCKING
UP ON EMERGENCY SUPPLIES. THIS INCLUDES NON-PERISHABLE FOOD AND
WATER SUFFICIENT FOR 3 TO 5 DAYS...BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND
RADIOS...AND FIRST AID KITS. CANDLES ARE NOT RECOMMENDED SINCE THEY
BECOME A FIRE HAZARD. FILL YOUR VEHICLE WITH GAS...AND KEEP CASH ON
HAND.
IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER...BUY ONE FROM ANY
LOCAL RADIO OR ELECTRONICS STORE. IF YOU LIVE IN A BUILDING SUBJECT
TO SEVERE WIND DAMAGE...YOU SHOULD HAVE A PLAN AND BE READY TO MOVE
TO A SAFER LOCATION. YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS CAN PROVIDE YOU
WITH THE LATEST RECOMMENDATIONS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD BEGIN IMPLEMENTING HURRICANE PLANS. ANCHOR
AND SECURE YOUR VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM
TO A SAFE AREA. DO NOT PLAN TO RIDE OUT THE HURRICANE ONBOARD YOUR
VESSEL.
...PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WHO NEED EXTRA TIME TO COMPLETE ANY OUTSIDE PREPARATION
ACTIVITIES SHOULD BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE
PROTECTION OF BOATS...REMOVING OUTSIDE DEBRIS AND CHECKING OR
INSTALLING SHUTTERS.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 11 AM AST THIS MORNING...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 200
MILES...325 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF DOMINICA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES
AND 475 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
575 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE IS MOVING WEST
NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
WAS 994 MB...OR 29.35 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TO 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES MAINLY TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. ON ITS CURRENT TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...NEAR
GUADALOUPE. HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THESE ISLANDS WILL BEGIN
TO DETERIORRATE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE PRESENT FORECAST TRAJECTORY
OF HURRICANE JOSE WILL TAKE ITS CENTER OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NEAR 11 PM WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OVER VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AROUND 4 AM
THURSDAY MORNING AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO NEAR SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING.
THIS MEANS THAT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND VIEQUES AND CULEBRA WILL
BEGIN EXPERIENCING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
EASTERN PUERTO RICO SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. REMEMBER THAT FORECAST
TRACKS CAN HAVE LARGE ERRORS BEYOND 36 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED 6 PM THIS EVENING.
GROSS
673
WWCA31 TJSJ 191950
HLSSJU
PRZ001>005-006-007-
AMZ750-755-770-773-775-192300-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
345 PM AST TUE OCT 19 1999
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD NOT
VENTURE FAR FROM PORT...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN 36 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE IMPLEMENTING HURRICANE
MITIGATION PLANS...AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON
HURRICANE JOSE.
CONTINUE PREPARATIONS NOW...SUCH AS STOCKING UP ON EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES. THIS INCLUDES NON-PERISHABLE FOOD AND WATER SUFFICIENT FOR
3 TO 5 DAYS...BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND RADIOS...AND FIRST AID
KITS. CANDLES ARE NOT RECOMMENDED SINCE THEY BECOME A FIRE HAZARD.
FILL YOUR VEHICLE WITH GAS...AND KEEP CASH ON HAND.
IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER...BUY ONE FROM ANY
LOCAL RADIO OR ELECTRONICS STORE. IF YOU LIVE IN A BUILDING SUBJECT
TO SEVERE WIND DAMAGE...YOU SHOULD HAVE A PLAN AND BE READY TO MOVE
TO A SAFER LOCATION. YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS CAN PROVIDE YOU
WITH THE LATEST RECOMMENDATIONS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE IMPLEMENTING HURRICANE PLANS. ANCHOR
AND SECURE YOUR VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM
TO A SAFE AREA. DO NOT PLAN TO RIDE OUT THE HURRICANE ONBOARD YOUR
VESSEL.
...PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WHO NEED EXTRA TIME TO COMPLETE ANY OUTSIDE PREPARATION
ACTIVITIES SHOULD BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE
PROTECTION OF BOATS...REMOVING OUTSIDE DEBRIS AND CHECKING OR
INSTALLING SHUTTERS.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 2 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250
KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF DOMINICA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND 430 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND 530 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST
NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 992 MB...OR 29.29 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TO 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES MAINLY TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. REMEMBER...SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
ON ITS CURRENT TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...NEAR GUADALOUPE.
HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THESE ISLANDS WILL BEGIN TO
DETERIORRATE TONIGHT. THE PRESENT FORECAST TRAJECTORY OF HURRICANE
JOSE WILL TAKE ITS CENTER OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS NEAR 11 PM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OVER VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY
MORNING AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO NEAR SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. THIS
MEANS THAT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND VIEQUES AND CULEBRA WILL
BEGIN EXPERIENCING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
EASTERN PUERTO RICO SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. REMEMBER THAT FORECAST
TRACKS CAN HAVE LARGE ERRORS BEYOND 36 HOURS.
...RAINFALL...
EXTREME OUTER RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO AS EARLY AS TONIGHT...BRINGING PERIODS OF
VERY HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
AND OVER THE EASTERN ISLANDS. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING WILL INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HURRICANE JOSE MOVES
CLOSER TO THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY
WITHIN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE EAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH
ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE THESE HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST. CROIX FOR THURSDAY:
3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM
TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR THURSDAY:
5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL START TO UNDERGO A SLIGHT DETERIORATION TONIGHT AS STEADY
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KTS BLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN
LOCAL WATERS. A SIGNFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR ON
WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
OUT TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON
RADIO...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB
SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED 6 PM THIS EVENING.
GROSS
893
WWCA31 TJSJ 192117
HLSSJU
PRZ001>005-006-007-
AMZ750-755-770-773-775-200600-
BULLETIN-EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
515 PM AST TUE OCT 19 1999
...HURRICANE JOSE IS HEADING OUR WAY...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS
OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS..VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND PUERTO
RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS..VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS YOUR AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS
TO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPLEMENT
HURRICANE MITIGATION PLANS...AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST UPDATES
ON HURRICANE JOSE. YOU SHOULD BE COMPLETING ALL PREPARATIONS BY
NOONTIME ON WEDNESDAY.
PREPARATIONS INCLUDE STOCKING UP ON EMERGENCY SUPPLIES. THIS
INCLUDES NON-PERISHABLE FOOD AND WATER SUFFICIENT FOR 3 TO 5
DAYS...BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND RADIOS...AND FIRST AID KITS.
CANDLES ARE NOT RECOMMENDED SINCE THEY BECOME A FIRE HAZARD. FILL
YOUR VEHICLE WITH GAS...AND KEEP CASH ON HAND.
IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER...BUY ONE FROM ANY
LOCAL RADIO OR ELECTRONICS STORE. IF YOU LIVE IN A BUILDING SUBJECT
TO SEVERE WIND DAMAGE...YOU SHOULD HAVE A PLAN AND BE READY TO MOVE
TO A SAFER LOCATION. YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS CAN PROVIDE YOU
WITH THE LATEST RECOMMENDATIONS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD IMPLEMENT HURRICANE PLANS. ANCHOR AND
SECURE YOUR VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM TO
A SAFE AREA. DO NOT PLAN TO RIDE OUT THE HURRICANE ONBOARD YOUR
VESSEL.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES ...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLAND SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS.
...PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...
YOU SHOULD CONTINUE TO COMPLETE ANY OUTSIDE PREPARATION ACTIVITIES
TONIGHT. THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE PROTECTION OF BOATS...REMOVING
OUTSIDE DEBRIS AND CHECKING OR INSTALLING SHUTTERS.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 5 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 115 MILES...190
KM...EAST OF DOMINICA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND 390 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND 490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST NORTHWEST AND
NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
WAS 992 MB...OR 29.29 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TO 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES MAINLY TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. REMEMBER...SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
ON ITS CURRENT TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...NEAR GUADALOUPE.
HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THESE ISLANDS WILL BEGIN TO
DETERIORRATE TONIGHT. THE PRESENT FORECAST TRAJECTORY OF HURRICANE
JOSE WILL TAKE ITS CENTER OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS NEAR 11 PM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OVER VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY
MORNING AND THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF PUERTO RICO NEAR SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. THIS MEANS THAT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
VIEQUES AND CULEBRA WILL BEGIN EXPERIENCING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
REMEMBER THAT FORECAST TRACKS CAN HAVE LARGE ERRORS BEYOND 36 HOURS.
...RAINFALL...
EXTREME OUTER RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO AS EARLY AS TONIGHT...BRINGING PERIODS OF
VERY HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
AND OVER THE EASTERN ISLANDS. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING WILL INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HURRICANE JOSE MOVES
CLOSER TO THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY
WITHIN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE EAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH
ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE THESE HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST. CROIX FOR THURSDAY:
3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM
TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR THURSDAY:
5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL START TO UNDERGO A SLIGHT DETERIORATION TONIGHT AS STEADY
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KTS BLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN
LOCAL WATERS. A SIGNFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR ON
WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
OUT TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON
RADIO...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB
SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 PM TONIGHT.
GROSS
*********************************************** 10-20-99 ********************************
515
WWCA31 TJSJ 200037
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-200400-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
837 PM AST TUE OCT 19 1999
...HURRICANE JOSE CONTINUES HEADING TOWARD THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS
OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO
RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS YOUR AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS
TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
IMPLEMENT HURRICANE MITIGATION PLANS...AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE
LATEST UPDATES ON HURRICANE JOSE. ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BY NOONTIME ON WEDNESDAY.
PREPARATIONS INCLUDE STOCKING UP ON EMERGENCY SUPPLIES. THIS
INCLUDES NON-PERISHABLE FOOD AND WATER SUFFICIENT FOR 3 TO 5 DAYS
...BATTERIES FOR FLASHLIGHTS AND RADIOS...AND FIRST AID KITS.
CANDLES ARE NOT RECOMMENDED SINCE THEY BECOME A FIRE HAZARD. FILL
YOUR VEHICLE WITH GAS...AND KEEP CASH ON HAND.
IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER...BUY ONE FROM ANY
LOCAL RADIO OR ELECTRONICS STORE. IF YOU LIVE IN A BUILDING SUBJECT
TO SEVERE WIND DAMAGE...YOU SHOULD HAVE A PLAN AND BE READY TO MOVE
TO A SAFER LOCATION. YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS CAN PROVIDE YOU
WITH THE LATEST RECOMMENDATIONS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPLEMENT HURRICANE PLANS.
ANCHOR AND SECURE YOUR VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR
EVACUATE THEM TO A SAFE AREA. YOU SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT THE
HURRICANE ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS.
...PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...
YOU SHOULD CONTINUE TO COMPLETE ANY OUTSIDE PREPARATION ACTIVITIES
TONIGHT. THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE PROTECTION OF BOATS...REMOVING
OUTSIDE DEBRIS AND CHECKING OR INSTALLING SHUTTERS.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...
EAST OF DOMINICA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...OR 375 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR 405 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST
THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR 475 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN
JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST NORTHWEST AND
NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 992 MB...OR 29.29 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTENDS OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER
...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. REMEMBER...SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
ON ITS CURRENT TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...NEAR GUADELOUPE. THE
PRESENT FORECAST TRAJECTORY OF HURRICANE JOSE WILL TAKE ITS CENTER
OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS NEAR 11 PM WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OVER
VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY MORNING AND THE
NORTHEASTERN TIP OF PUERTO RICO NEAR SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. THIS
MEANS THAT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND VIEQUES AND CULEBRA WILL
BEGIN EXPERIENCING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
EASTERN PUERTO RICO SHORTLY CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT. REMEMBER THAT
FORECAST TRACKS CAN HAVE LARGE ERRORS BEYOND 36 HOURS.
...RAINFALL...
EXTREME OUTER RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO AS EARLY AS TONIGHT...BRINGING PERIODS OF
VERY HEAVY RAIN. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
WILL INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HURRICANE JOSE MOVES CLOSER TO
THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM...EXCEPT 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE EAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE
WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE THESE HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST. CROIX FOR THURSDAY:
3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM
TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR THURSDAY:
5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL START TO UNDERGO A SLIGHT DETERIORATION TONIGHT AS STEADY
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KNOTS BLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN
LOCAL WATERS. A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR ON
WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
OUT TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON
RADIO...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB
SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 1200 AM THURSDAY.
SEELEY/MATOS
108
WWCA31 TJSJ 201239 COR
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-201500-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
745 AM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...STRENGTHENING JOSE CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH AND EAST
COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND PUERTO
RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS YOUR AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE
CLOSELY MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF THE STORM TODAY...WHILE
CONDUCTING HURRICANE PREPARATIONS.
IF YOU LIVE IN A BUILDING SUBJECT TO SEVERE WIND DAMAGE...YOU SHOULD
HAVE A PLAN AND BE READY TO MOVE TO A SAFER LOCATION.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH FINAL ANCHORING AND SECURING
OF VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM TO A SAFE
AREA TODAY. YOU SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT THE HURRICANE ONBOARD
YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE RESULTED FROM THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS. IF YOU
LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE
TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND TODAY.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 500 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 60 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...OR ABOUT 75
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA...OR ABOUT 270 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 300 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 380
MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE IS MOVING NORTHWEST
NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 977
MB...OR 28.85 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35
MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH
GREATER OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE TAKES THE CENTER OF THE
STORM OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND VERY CLOSE TO THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ANY LEFTWARD
DEVIATION OF THIS FUTURE TRACK COULD THEN BRING THE THREAT OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ...VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA. HURRICANE JOSE CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS AND REAL THREAT TO
THE LOCAL AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON ITS ACTUAL TRACK.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...DO NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE
TRACK.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...TO ST.
CROIX AT AROUND 1100 PM TONIGHT...TO ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND
200 AM THURSDAY MORNING...TO VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BETWEEN 400 AM AND
600 AM THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST TIP OF PUERTO RICO
BETWEEN 600 AM AND 800 AM THURSDAY MORNING. THIS MEANS THAT THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL BEGIN EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY
THIS EVENING AROUND 900 PM AND VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AROUND 2 AM
THURSDAY MORNING. THE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
VERY CLOSE TO THE NORTHEAST OF ST JOHN. FOR NORTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO
THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN AROUND 6 AM THURSDAY
MORNING GRADUALLY SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH AND
INTERIOR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
...RAINFALL...
EXTREME OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...BRINGING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN...WHICH SHOULD BECOME MORE FREQUENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
FURTHER DETERIORATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN THE
RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY BECAUSE THE LOCAL GROUNDS
REMAIN SATURATED BECAUSE OF THE RAINS OF LAST TWO WEEKS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE EAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO TODAY. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION
SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTS FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY
...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE
TO PRODUCE THESE HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
4:34 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY AND
THURSDAY: 5:39 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
5:24 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM THURSDAY.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE TODAY...WITH A MORE
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON
...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
OUT TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON
RADIO...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB
SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 930 AM THIS MORNING.
237
WWCA31 TJSJ 201354
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-201700-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
950 AM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...JOSE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
...VIEQUES...AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE OR WILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN
24 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE CLOSELY MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF
HURRICANE JOSE TODAY...WHILE CONTINUING WITH HURRICANE
PREPARATIONS.
IF YOU LIVE IN A BUILDING SUBJECT TO SEVERE WIND DAMAGE...YOU SHOULD
HAVE A HURRICANE EVACUATION PLAN...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO A SAFER
LOCATION BY THIS EVENING.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH FINAL ANCHORING AND SECURING
OF VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM TO A SAFE
AREA THIS MORNING. YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT THE HURRICANE
ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE RESULTED FROM
THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE SOUTHEAST SWELLS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE EASTERLY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND
THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST THURSDAY MORNING. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD
PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE TO A STURDY
SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND TODAY.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 800 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...OR ABOUT 245
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR
ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
...OR ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE HAS
BEEN MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST 12
HOURS...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 983 MB...OR 29.02 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE TAKES THE CENTER OF THE
STORM OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND VERY CLOSE TO
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ANY
LEFTWARD DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD THEN BRING THE THREAT
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND
VIEQUES. HURRICANE JOSE CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO THE
LOCAL AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND
AND WIND...RAIN...AND STORMY WEATHER. DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON
THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO
THE RIGHT AND LEFT.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...TO ST.
CROIX AT AROUND 1100 PM TONIGHT...TO ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND
200 AM THURSDAY MORNING...TO VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BETWEEN 400 AM AND
600 AM THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST TIP OF PUERTO RICO
BETWEEN 600 AM AND 800 AM THURSDAY MORNING. THIS MEANS THAT THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL BEGIN EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY
THIS EVENING AROUND 900 PM AND VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AROUND 2 AM
THURSDAY MORNING. THE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
VERY CLOSE TO THE NORTHEAST OF ST JOHN. FOR NORTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO
THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN AROUND 6 AM THURSDAY
MORNING GRADUALLY SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH AND
INTERIOR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
...RAINFALL...
EXTREME OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO INTERMITTENTLY THROUGHOUT THIS
MORNING...BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WHICH SHOULD BECOME MORE
FREQUENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN THE RISK OF FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
LIKELY WITHIN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...AND LOCALLY HIGHER OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AND ELEVATED TERRAIN.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS
OF PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND
BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS FROM THIS
EVENING INTO THURSDAY...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE
WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
4:34 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY AND
THURSDAY: 5:39 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
5:24 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM THURSDAY.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE TODAY...WITH A MORE
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON
...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
OUT TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 1230 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
STRIPLING
985
WWCA31 TJSJ 201626
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-201700-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1225 PM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...JOSE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
...VIEQUES...AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA... VIEQUES...AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH FINAL ANCHORING AND SECURING
OF VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM TO A SAFE
AREA IMMEDIATELY. YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A HURRICANE
ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE RESULTED FROM
THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE SOUTHEAST SWELLS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE EASTERLY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND
THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH THURSDAY MORNING. IF YOU LIVE IN A
FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE TO A
STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND THIS AFTERNOON.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 1100 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...OR ABOUT 210
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR
ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
...OR ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE HAS
BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST
12 HOURS...WITH A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED
BY HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 978 MB...OR 28.88 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE TAKES THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
THROUGH EVENING...THEN VERY NEAR OR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ANY LEFTWARD DEVIATION OF
THE FORECAST TRACK COULD THEN BRING THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES. HURRICANE
JOSE CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA
WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND
AND WIND...RAIN...AND STORMY WEATHER. DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON
THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO
THE RIGHT AND LEFT.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...TO ST CROIX
AT AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...TO ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND 400
AM THURSDAY MORNING...TO VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BETWEEN 300 AM AND 500
AM THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST TIP OF PUERTO RICO AROUND
SUNRISE THURSDAY.
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO INTERMITTENTLY THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD
WEST TO THE REST OF THE LOCAL AREA BY THIS EVENING. FURTHER
DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN
INCREASE IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE DIRECT PATH OF THIS
HURRICANE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AND ELEVATED
TERRAIN.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND
BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS FROM THIS
EVENING INTO THURSDAY...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE
WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
4:34 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY AND
THURSDAY: 5:39 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
5:24 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM THURSDAY.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS
OCCURRING AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND
CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 1230 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
STRIPLING
633
WWCA31 TJSJ 201626
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-201700-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1225 PM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...JOSE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
...VIEQUES...AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA... VIEQUES...AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH FINAL ANCHORING AND SECURING
OF VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM TO A SAFE
AREA IMMEDIATELY. YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A HURRICANE
ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE RESULTED FROM
THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE SOUTHEAST SWELLS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE EASTERLY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND
THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH THURSDAY MORNING. IF YOU LIVE IN A
FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE TO A
STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND THIS AFTERNOON.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 1100 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...OR ABOUT 210
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR
ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
...OR ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE HAS
BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST
12 HOURS...WITH A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED
BY HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 978 MB...OR 28.88 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE TAKES THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
THROUGH EVENING...THEN VERY NEAR OR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ANY LEFTWARD DEVIATION OF
THE FORECAST TRACK COULD THEN BRING THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES. HURRICANE
JOSE CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA
WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND
AND WIND...RAIN...AND STORMY WEATHER. DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON
THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO
THE RIGHT AND LEFT.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...TO ST CROIX
AT AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...TO ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND 400
AM THURSDAY MORNING...TO VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BETWEEN 300 AM AND 500
AM THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST TIP OF PUERTO RICO AROUND
SUNRISE THURSDAY.
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO INTERMITTENTLY THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD
WEST TO THE REST OF THE LOCAL AREA BY THIS EVENING. FURTHER
DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN
INCREASE IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE DIRECT PATH OF THIS
HURRICANE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AND ELEVATED
TERRAIN.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND
BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS FROM THIS
EVENING INTO THURSDAY...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE
WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
4:34 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY AND
THURSDAY: 5:39 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
5:24 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM THURSDAY.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS
OCCURRING AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND
CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 1230 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
STRIPLING
010
WWCA31 TJSJ 201901
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-202200-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
300 PM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...JOSE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
...VIEQUES...AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA... VIEQUES...AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH FINAL ANCHORING AND SECURING
OF VESSELS IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS...OR EVACUATE THEM TO A SAFE
AREA IMMEDIATELY. YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A HURRICANE
ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE RESULTED FROM
THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE EAST TO SOUTHEAST SWELLS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE EASTERLY THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT...AND THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH THURSDAY MORNING. IF
YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD
EVACUATE TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 2 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST
MAARTEN IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 210 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST
CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ST THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ...OR ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 12
MPH...19 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS...WITH A NORTHWEST MOTION
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 984
MB...OR 29.05 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE TAKES THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN JUST NORTHEAST OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AROUND 5AM. ANY LEFTWARD DEVIATION OF THE
FORECAST TRACK COULD THEN BRING THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES. HURRICANE JOSE
CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITH
THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND
...RAIN...AND STORMY WEATHER. DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE
PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE
RIGHT AND LEFT.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...ABOUT 50
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND 500 AM
THURSDAY MORNING...AND ABOUT 125 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO AROUND 10 AM THURSDAY MORNING.
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
EASTERN PUERTO RICO INTERMITTENTLY THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...AND
SPREAD WEST TO THE REST OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. FURTHER
DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN
INCREASE IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE NIGHT. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE PASSES
TO THE NORTHEAST...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AND ELEVATED
TERRAIN.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND
BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS FROM THIS
EVENING INTO THURSDAY...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE
WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
4:34 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY AND
THURSDAY: 5:39 PM THIS EVENING. 4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
5:24 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM THURSDAY.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS
OCCURRING AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND
CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 PM THIS EVENING.
GROSS
557
WWCA31 TJSJ 202122
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-210300-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 PM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...JOSE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
...VIEQUES...AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD BE FINISHED ANCHORING AND SECURING VESSELS
IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS. YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A
HURRICANE ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE
RESULTED FROM THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE EASTERLY SWELLS THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH THURSDAY
MORNING. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU
SHOULD EVACUATE TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 5 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST
MAARTEN IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 145 MILES EAST OF ST CROIX
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 170 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST
THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MPH...19 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS...WITH A NORTHWEST MOTION
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 983
MB...OR 29.03 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM
THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE TAKES THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN JUST NORTHEAST OF ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN
OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AROUND 7AM.
THEREFORE ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN SHOULD START FEELING TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AROUND 3 AM WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS AND SHOULD LAST
UNTIL AROUND 3 PM ON THURSDAY. ST CROIX AND THE EASTERN TIP OF
PUERTO RICO SHOULD REMAIN JUST ON THE BORDER OF THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. BUT ANY LEFTWARD DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD
THEN BRING THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES.
HURRICANE JOSE CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO PORTIONS
OF THE LOCAL AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND
...RAIN...AND STORMY WEATHER. DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE
PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE
RIGHT AND LEFT.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...ABOUT 50
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND 700 AM
THURSDAY MORNING...AND ABOUT 75 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO IN
PUERTO RICO AROUND 11 AM THURSDAY MORNING.
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO PRODUCING INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
THROUGHOUT THIS EVENING. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE
PASSES TO THE NORTHEAST...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AND ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE
OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND OVER THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND
BEACH EROSION SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS FROM THIS
EVENING INTO THURSDAY...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE
WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
4:34 PM WEDNESDAY. 3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY AND
THURSDAY: 5:39 PM WEDNESDAY. 4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM THURSDAY.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY:
5:24 PM WEDNESDAY. 5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM THURSDAY.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A
MORE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SWELLS AND SEAS OCCURRING AFTER
MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF
THE NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM THIS EVENING.
GROSS
*********************************************** 10-21-99 ********************************
616
WWCA31 TJSJ 210322
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-210700-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1130 PM AST WED OCT 20 1999
...JOSE NEAR ST MAARTEN IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
...VIEQUES...AND PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD BE FINISHED ANCHORING AND SECURING VESSELS
IN HURRICANE SAFE HARBORS. YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A
HURRICANE ONBOARD YOUR VESSEL...AS MANY HURRICANE DEATHS HAVE
RESULTED FROM THIS.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE EASTERLY SWELLS
TONIGHT...AND THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH THURSDAY MORNING. IF
YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD
EVACUATE TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST...OR JUST NEAR ST MAARTEN
IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...ABOUT 110 MILES EAST OF ST CROIX IN THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS IN THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO. JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...OR 29.23 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM
THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE WILL HAVE THE CENTER
EXITING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...THEN
JUST NORTHEAST OF ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
BY NOON ON THURSDAY. ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN SHOULD START FEELING
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 6 AM WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS
POSSIBLE. ST CROIX AND THE EASTERN TIP OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY
CULEBRA...SHOULD EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY MID MORNING. BUT
ANY LEFTWARD DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE THREAT
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND
VIEQUES.
HURRICANE JOSE CONTINUES TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT TO PORTIONS
OF THE LOCAL AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
PLEASE REMEMBER A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND
...RAIN...AND STORMY WEATHER. DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE
PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE
RIGHT AND LEFT.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...ABOUT 40
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS AT AROUND NOON ON
THURSDAY...AND ABOUT 70 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO IN PUERTO
RICO EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY.
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO PRODUCING INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
OVERNIGHT. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED
WITH AN INCREASE IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE PASSES TO THE
NORTHEAST...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AND
ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE OVER
EASTERN PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO TONIGHT. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH
EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS INTO THURSDAY...AS LARGE
BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE
VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR THURSDAY:
3:42 AM AND 4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR THURSDAY:
4:47 AM AND 7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR THURSDAY:
5:41 AM AND 6:09 PM.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION
STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 AM.
GROSS
456
WWCA31 TJSJ 211034
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-211330-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
633 AM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...JOSE LOCATED JUST NORTH OF ST JOHN AND ABOUT 25 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST...
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING...OR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE EASTERLY SWELLS THIS
MORNING...AND THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH LATER TODAY. IF YOU
LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE
TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 500 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST...OR JUST NORTH OF ST JOHN
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...ABOUT 25 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST
THOMAS...ABOUT 50 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST CROIX...ABOUT 50 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CULEBRA...ABOUT 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF VIEQUES...
ABOUT 75 MILES EAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...AND ABOUT 100 MILES
EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. JOSE IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/HR...AND A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA TO BE 992 MB...OR 29.29 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
JOSE HAS WEAKENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 35 MILES NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...
WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE WILL HAVE THE CENTER
MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM ST JOHN...ST THOMAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS
AND ST CROIX THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS WILL
CONTINUE TO FEEL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH NOON...WITH
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE IN ST CROIX. THE EASTERN
THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...WILL RECEIVE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AT LEAST IN GUSTS BEGINNING EARLY THIS
MORNING AND THEN CONTINUING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE
POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE LEFT AND RIGHT. PLEASE REMEMBER A
HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND...RAIN...AND
STORMY WEATHER.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...ABOUT 50
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...BETWEEN 1100 AM AND
100 PM TODAY.
...RAINFALL...
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO WITH INCREASING FREQUENCY TODAY...PRODUCING INTERMITTENT
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE
LOCAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED BEGINNING THIS MORNING...WITH AN INCREASE
IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE PASSES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AND ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO...
INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND
BEACH EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS STARTING THIS
MORNING...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND
HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 930 AM.
SEELEY/TIRADO
219
WWCA31 TJSJ 211312
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-211600-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
911 AM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...JOSE BARELY A HURRICANE...LOCATED VERY NEAR ST THOMAS IN THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST...
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING...OR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE EASTERLY SWELLS THIS
MORNING...SLOWLY BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH LATER TODAY. IF YOU
LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE
TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 800 AM AST...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.7 WEST...OR VERY
NEAR ST THOMAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OR
...ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST JOHN...
...ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF ST CROIX
...ABOUT 40 MILES EAST OF CULEBRA...
...ABOUT 45 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF VIEQUES...
...ABOUT 65 MILES EAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...
...AND ABOUT 95 MILES EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...
22 KM/HR...BUT IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
996 MB...OR 29.41 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE BARELY NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A
SMALL AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE WILL HAVE THE CENTER
MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM ST JOHN...ST THOMAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS
AND ST CROIX THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS WILL
CONTINUE TO FEEL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH AT LEAST NOON...
WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE IN ST CROIX. THE EASTERN
THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...WILL
CONTINUE TO RECEIVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AT LEAST IN GUSTS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE
POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE LEFT AND RIGHT. PLEASE REMEMBER A
HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND...RAIN...AND
STORMY WEATHER.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...ABOUT 50
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...BETWEEN 1100 AM AND
100 PM TODAY.
...RAINFALL...
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO WITH INCREASING FREQUENCY...PRODUCING INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCREASE IN THE RISK
OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY AS
THE HURRICANE PASSES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS
AND ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH
ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON.
TIRADO/SEELEY
756
WWCA31 TJSJ 212130
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-220200-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 PM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTH...AND NORTHWEST COASTS OF THE ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN OF THE
NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND CULEBRA...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD REMAIN IN PROTECTED WATERS...
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 5 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993
MB...OR 29.32 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WILL HAVE THE
CENTER CONTINUING TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF PUERTO RICO
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE GUSTY WINDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING
FROM WESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT.
...RAINFALL...
INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO
WRAP AROUND TROPICAL STORM JOSE. WIND DRIVEN RAIN WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES WHILE DRIVING ON THE ROADWAYS THIS EVENING. YOU CAN
EXPECT UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO WITH ISOLATED GREATER AMOUNTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE BACK END OF THE STORM
WILL MOVE CLOSER TO OUR LOCAL AREA THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH COULD
INCREASE THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THEREFORE YOU SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE STORM CLOSELY AS IT EXITS THE AREA.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS
SURROUNDING PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SEAS WILL
REMAIN UP TO 12 FEET WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF 18.5 N LATITUDE.
...STORM TIDES...
VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH COASTS OF THE ISLANDS...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES
COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
NO FURTHER LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED FOR TROPICAL STORM JOSE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE COVERED IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
GROSS
916
WWCA31 TJSJ 211312
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-211600-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
911 AM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...JOSE BARELY A HURRICANE...LOCATED VERY NEAR ST THOMAS IN THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND FOR THE NORTH...EAST...
...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING...OR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE EASTERLY SWELLS THIS
MORNING...SLOWLY BECOMING NORTHEAST AND NORTH LATER TODAY. IF YOU
LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE
TO A STURDY SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 800 AM AST...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.7 WEST...OR VERY
NEAR ST THOMAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OR
...ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST JOHN...
...ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF ST CROIX
...ABOUT 40 MILES EAST OF CULEBRA...
...ABOUT 45 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF VIEQUES...
...ABOUT 65 MILES EAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...
...AND ABOUT 95 MILES EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...
22 KM/HR...BUT IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
996 MB...OR 29.41 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE BARELY NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A
SMALL AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE JOSE WILL HAVE THE CENTER
MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM ST JOHN...ST THOMAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS
AND ST CROIX THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...ST JOHN AND ST THOMAS WILL
CONTINUE TO FEEL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH AT LEAST NOON...
WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE IN ST CROIX. THE EASTERN
THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...WILL
CONTINUE TO RECEIVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AT LEAST IN GUSTS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE
POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE LEFT AND RIGHT. PLEASE REMEMBER A
HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND...RAIN...AND
STORMY WEATHER.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS...ABOUT 50
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...BETWEEN 1100 AM AND
100 PM TODAY.
...RAINFALL...
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO WITH INCREASING FREQUENCY...PRODUCING INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCREASE IN THE RISK
OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY AS
THE HURRICANE PASSES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS
AND ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH
ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON.
TIRADO/SEELEY
711
WWCA31 TJSJ 211554
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-211900-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1130 AM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...JOSE DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...NORTHWEST..
EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST...NORTH
...EAST...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING...OR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTH BY TONIGHT. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR
EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE TO A STURDY SHELTER ON
HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 11 AM AST...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 20
MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OR
...ABOUT 60 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ST CROIX
...ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF CULEBRA...
...ABOUT 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF VIEQUES...
...ABOUT 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...
...AND ABOUT 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 996
MB...OR 29.41 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE BARELY NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. REMEMBER...WIND GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WILL HAVE THE
CENTER MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM ST JOHN...ST THOMAS AND
THE ADJACENT ISLANDS AND ST CROIX THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...ST JOHN
AND ST THOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
THROUGH AT LEAST NOON...WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN ST
CROIX. THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...WILL CONTINUE TO RECEIVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AT
LEAST IN GUSTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE
POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE LEFT AND RIGHT. PLEASE REMEMBER A
TROPICAL STORM IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND...RAIN...AND
STORMY WEATHER.
ON ITS CURRENT PATH...JOSE WILL TRACK CLOSEST TO PUERTO RICO...ABOUT
30 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
...RAINFALL...
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO WITH INCREASING FREQUENCY...PRODUCING INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. FURTHER DETERIORATION IN THE LOCAL WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCREASE IN THE RISK
OF FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY AS
THE TROPICAL STORM PASSES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS
AND ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH
ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 PM.
GROSS
818
WWCA31 TJSJ 211839
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-212200-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
230 PM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...JOSE CONTINUES TO SPIN OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...NORTHWEST..
EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST...NORTH
...EAST...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING...OR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTH BY TONIGHT. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR
EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE TO A STURDY SHELTER ON
HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 2 PM AST...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 50
MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
...ABOUT 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ST THOMAS
...ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ST CROIX
...ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF CULEBRA...
...ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF VIEQUES...
...ABOUT 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 996
MB...OR 29.41 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ST. THOMAS RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 44 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 52 MPH. REMEMBER...WIND
GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WILL HAVE THE
CENTER CONTINUING TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM ST JOHN...ST
THOMAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS AND TRACKING JUST NORTH OF PUERTO
RICO. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES
AND THE NORTHEAST TIP OF PUERTO RICO WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS EVENING.
DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE
POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE LEFT AND RIGHT. PLEASE REMEMBER A
TROPICAL STORM IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND...RAIN...AND
STORMY WEATHER.
...RAINFALL...
INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. MOST OF THE RAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING
WILL BE MODERATE PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A COUPLE OF INCHES
THROUGH 6 PM. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE OVER THE
NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS
...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE
TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 PM.
GROSS
282
WWCA31 TJSJ 211839
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-212200-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
230 PM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...JOSE CONTINUES TO SPIN OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH...NORTHWEST..
EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS PUERTO RICO...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST...NORTH
...EAST...AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...
...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING...OR ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE.
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING
...AND BEACH EROSION PRODUCED FROM LARGE NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTH BY TONIGHT. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE OR
EXPOSED COASTAL AREA...YOU SHOULD EVACUATE TO A STURDY SHELTER ON
HIGHER GROUND.
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 2 PM AST...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 50
MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
...ABOUT 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ST THOMAS
...ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ST CROIX
...ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF CULEBRA...
...ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF VIEQUES...
...ABOUT 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF FAJARDO PUERTO RICO...
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 996
MB...OR 29.41 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ST. THOMAS RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 44 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 52 MPH. REMEMBER...WIND
GUSTS CAN BE MUCH GREATER OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WILL HAVE THE
CENTER CONTINUING TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM ST JOHN...ST
THOMAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS AND TRACKING JUST NORTH OF PUERTO
RICO. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES
AND THE NORTHEAST TIP OF PUERTO RICO WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS EVENING.
DO NOT FOCUS EXCLUSIVELY ON THE PROJECTED TRACK...BUT CONSIDER THE
POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS BOTH TO THE LEFT AND RIGHT. PLEASE REMEMBER A
TROPICAL STORM IS NOT A POINT...BUT A WIDE AREA OF WIND...RAIN...AND
STORMY WEATHER.
...RAINFALL...
INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. MOST OF THE RAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING
WILL BE MODERATE PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A COUPLE OF INCHES
THROUGH 6 PM. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE OVER THE
NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.
...STORM TIDES...
SURF AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...
AND NORTH COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL
FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE COASTS
...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE
TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 PM.
GROSS
756
WWCA31 TJSJ 212130
HLSSJU
PRZ001>007-AMZ750-755-770-773-775-220200-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JOSE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 PM AST THU OCT 21 1999
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTH...AND NORTHWEST COASTS OF THE ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN OF THE
NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND CULEBRA...
...A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
...SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD REMAIN IN PROTECTED WATERS...
...STORM UPDATE...
AT 5 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993
MB...OR 29.32 INCHES.
...WIND INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
...FORECAST CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST PROJECTED TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WILL HAVE THE
CENTER CONTINUING TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF PUERTO RICO
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE GUSTY WINDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING
FROM WESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT.
...RAINFALL...
INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO
WRAP AROUND TROPICAL STORM JOSE. WIND DRIVEN RAIN WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES WHILE DRIVING ON THE ROADWAYS THIS EVENING. YOU CAN
EXPECT UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO WITH ISOLATED GREATER AMOUNTS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE BACK END OF THE STORM
WILL MOVE CLOSER TO OUR LOCAL AREA THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH COULD
INCREASE THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THEREFORE YOU SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE STORM CLOSELY AS IT EXITS THE AREA.
...MARINE INFORMATION...
ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS
SURROUNDING PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SEAS WILL
REMAIN UP TO 12 FEET WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF 18.5 N LATITUDE.
...STORM TIDES...
VERY HIGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH COASTS OF THE ISLANDS...AS LARGE BREAKING WAVES
COMBINE WITH ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH TIDE TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SEAS.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX FOR TODAY:
4:53 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN CHARLOTTE AMALIE ST THOMAS FOR TODAY:
7:09 PM.
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO FOR TODAY:
6:09 PM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JOSE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE ON RADIO
...TELEVISION...NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES...
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
NWS PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.UPR.CLU.EDU/NWS
NO FURTHER LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED FOR TROPICAL STORM JOSE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE COVERED IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
GROSS
********************************************** 10-22-99 ********************************
no data available...
********************************************** 10-23-99 ********************************
no data available...
********************************************** 10-24-99 ********************************
423
WTNT34 KNHC 242040 COR
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 24 1999
...CORRECTED DISTANCE FROM BERMUDA...
...JOSE ACCELERATING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...HEADED FOR THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...515
KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR...
AND A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...33.0 N... 59.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
PASCH
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
WTNT3 Archive
021
WTNT44 KNHC 242036
TCDAT4
HURRICANE JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 1999
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEARING HAS INCREASED AGAIN OVER JOSE...AND THE LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR THE SOUTHWEST EDGE OF THE CENTRAL
DENSE OVERCAST. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DUE TO AN
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. JOSE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
INVOLVED WITH A FRONTAL ZONE SOON...AND THEN ABSORBED BY THE
ACCOMPANYING LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND THE
FORWARD SPEED IS NOW ABOUT 30 KNOTS. NOT MUCH CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE
TO THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST...WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THE LATEST RUN
OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL.
PASCH
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 24/2100Z 33.0N 59.3W 65 KTS
12HR VT 25/0600Z 38.0N 56.0W 60 KTS
24HR VT 25/1800Z 45.0N 49.0W 55 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
NHC Model Suite Guidance and GFDL Model Guidance (from NOAA ARL)
(These products should not be used in place of the Official NHC forecast above.)
WTNT4 Archive
822
WTNT24 KNHC 242033
TCMAT4
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1499
2100Z SUN OCT 24 1999
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 59.3W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 30 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 25SW 25NW
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 50SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 59.3W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 59.8W
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 38.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT
50 KT... 75NE 100SE 0SW 0NW
34 KT...200NE 200SE 50SW 0NW
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 45.0N 49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT
50 KT...100NE 200SE 0SW 0NW
34 KT...400NE 400SE 150SW 0NW
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 59.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
PASCH
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
WTNT2 Archive
851
WTNT74 KNHC 242035
SPFAT4
HURRICANE JOSE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 24 1999
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED OCT 27 1999
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
45.0N 49.0W 13 X X X 13 HIBERNIA OILFLD 2 X X X 2
CAPE RACE NFLD 6 X X X 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
PASCH
WTNT7 Archive
*********************************************** 10-25-99 ********************************
448
WTNT34 KNHC 250830
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 25 1999
...JOSE LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES
...925 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 39 MPH...63 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED
LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED AS JOSE LOSES TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...39.5 N... 55.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 39 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM IS
CONTAINED IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION
CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
FRANKLIN
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
WTNT3 Archive
240
WTNT44 KNHC 250828
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999
JOSE IS STILL PRODUCING A LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER AS IT STARTS TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL ZONE. WITHIN A FEW
HOURS IT WILL BYPASS THE GULFSTREAM AND ENCOUNTER COOLER WATERS AS
IT CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. JOSE SHOULD
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 6-12 HOURS AND MERGE WITH A LARGER
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE THEREAFTER.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON JOSE. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST STATEMENTS ISSUED BY
THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND UNDER
WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 25/0900Z 39.5N 55.0W 55 KTS
12HR VT 25/1800Z 46.0N 48.5W 55 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
NHC Model Suite Guidance and GFDL Model Guidance (from NOAA ARL)
(These products should not be used in place of the Official NHC forecast above.)
WTNT4 Archive
241
WTNT24 KNHC 250828
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1499
0900Z MON OCT 25 1999
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 55.0W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 34 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 25SW 25NW
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 50SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 55.0W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 56.4W
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 46.0N 48.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT
50 KT...100NE 200SE 0SW 0NW
34 KT...400NE 400SE 150SW 50NW
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM
FRANKLIN
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
WTNT2 Archive
851
WTNT74 KNHC 242035
SPFAT4
HURRICANE JOSE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 24 1999
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED OCT 27 1999
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
45.0N 49.0W 13 X X X 13 HIBERNIA OILFLD 2 X X X 2
CAPE RACE NFLD 6 X X X 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
PASCH
WTNT7 Archive
© 1999 FIU High Performance Database Research Center